Sunday, April 15, 2018

In the Sphere of Influence of the next Sun Jupiter CIT


We are in the Sphere of influence of the next Sun Jupiter CIT due 4/11/18 (green Lines). 

The last 5 of them were important Highs and Lows.


Friday, April 6, 2018

In this age of miracles and distraction, discipline is key

In this age of miracles and distractiondiscipline is key.

I truly marvel at the age we live in now. I can take my time and space and directly share it with you in your time and space. 

But, I know that I am not the only person whose time and space you are tuning into these days. There are many, many others competing for bandwidth in your world. Now that the Internet, youtube, media and promotion are available to anyone, recognizing quality over quantity is the biggest issue. 

Information becoming knowledge wisdom being diluted by your need to be entertained is more important than ever. 

The information age is dead and we are now in the "Distraction" Age. 

Dig one Deep Well, not infinite shallow holes - Stop Wasting Time.



Same Amount of Time Spent, but when Focused and Disciplined, we discover the true gems, when we dig deep in any subject, than just merely scratching the surface.

This is analogous to the image above, where instead of digging many small holes, we concentrate our energy on the same path and dig a verydeep hole, that eventually strikes water - or oil!  



This is the real challenge of these times. Filtering through the morass of information is really needed now, otherwise you run the risk of being entertained into mediocrity, or even worse "stupidity". This is a shame. It is easy to understand why you may be doing this and it is easy to fix.  Not only is this inefficient, but it is a waste of time, and our time is much shorter here than we think.

Source/Credit Sam Geppi at http://www.samgeppi.com/

With TM (www.TM.org), you dive directly to the deep silent bottom of the Ocean, where Bliss and true Happiness dwells, the source of creation and thought. Anyone who doesn't transcend (going beyond activity to pure Silence, the 4th state of Consciousness) through their meditation technique is wasting their time.  Maharishi

  • "In this (Yoga) no effort is lost and no obstacle exists.  Even a little of this dharma delivers from great fear." (Chapter 2, verse 40)
  • Nistraigunyo, bhava, Arjun. Be without the three gunas, Arjuna. (Chapter 2, verse 45)
  • Yoga stah, kuru karmani.  Established in Being, (pure Silence) perform action. (Chapter 2, verse 48) Bhagavat Gita

"But seek ye first the kingdom of God, and his righteousness; and all these things shall be added unto you"  Matthew 6:33 The Bible

Wednesday, April 4, 2018

The current Battle


The current battle between large fund managers automatically buying the markets when it drops below the SPX 200 DMA ( 2589 SPX) and the current Bear market forces are the root cause of the crazy whipsaw Volatility we have seen the last few days. It is expected to last the next fews days and weeks. 

The MC suggests it ain't over until its over! Be prepared!

Monday, April 2, 2018

The Master Cycle

Courtersy of Tradersworld Magazine, latest Issue:  https://tradersworld.com/issue69.pdf
The Master Cycle article is on page 117-122.


By late 2007, I discovered a cycle that was in the market on a day by day basis, faded after a while, only to-reappear again, like clockwork it predicted shorter term and longer term swing highs and lows, within 1 trading day. Over the years, I noticed that this same cycle and its multiples would again appear with amazing day to day precision, sometimes lasting for weeks and even months, only to disappear again for some time. After some time, I realized that the Market cycle I found was intimately connected to the Human Physiology, Vedic & Biblical Numerology and the Laws of Nature. I decided then to call it the Master Cycle, which is a unique cycle, that when “active” predicts exact future Highs and Lows, within 1 trading day.

A Master Cycle (MC) is an actual historic cycle with a proprietary numerology, that repeats exact swing Highs and Lows and day by day and is off at most 1 day. The Master Cycle has to have at least 3-5 recent "hits", ie it has to have predicted 3-5 recent Highs and Lows,  to become “active and dominant”.

The MC is a Time Series Cycle, ie it predicts future swing Highs and Lows. It doesn't always project the magnitude of the Price Highs and Lows, ie the cycle in the past would suggest a 10% rally or decline, but it doesn’t always have the same % rally or decline in the present time.

The Master Cycle can and does fade or invert at anytime, so take it fwiw, as it is certainly not the Holy Grail, it will not catch every Major swing High or Low and it will have misses that last for weeks or longer, but don’t discard it or give up on it like I did for years, because when it is active it tends to be very precise for weeks and months.

Of course we should not expect an exact repetition, but it should give you a general idea, as the Master Series of Cycles can be amazingly precise. For this reason only, it has worth its price in gold.

The Master Cycle is calculated in Calendar Days or Trading Days as the MC shifts from one to the other. The Master Cycle expands and contracts like the Universe, so at times some adjusting, curve fitting and fine tuning is needed to get the Master Cycle aligned with current market conditions. It will then reward us by predicting the next swing high and Low with amazing precision.

10 Master Cycle forecasts between April 2008 and January 2010

The Master Cycle, aka the “Series of Cycles” predictions have been well documented on
my public blog, http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/ as well in my T&C daily and weekly email for members and private blog at http://timeandcyclesdailyemail.blogspot.com

Below are 10 Master Cycle forecasts from April 2008 to January 2010:

1. 4/1/08: The MC called for the 7/16/07H and sharp decline to 8/16/07L”

2. 4/23/08: The Series of Cycles called for 3/28/08 Lows (Friday), 4/7 High, 4/10
High, 4/15-16 Lows, 4/18 High and is now looking for the next swing Low on
4/23-24 Lows. The Markets actually had a 3/31 (#1 on chart, click on chart to
enlarge) Low at Open, 4/7 High (#2), 4/10 High (#3), 4/15 Lows (#4) and from
the 4/18 actual High (#5) is down 30 SP's sofar.”

3. 5/14/08: The MC predicted the 5/19/08 Major High and sharp decline after:
High due early next week… I have a Rare confluence of 5 proprietary Cycles, in the
Cycles section of my T&C daily email service, all making the SAME prediction for a Big move in the coming weeks and months, which to me is very exciting information, as they give additional confirmation, which gives me a High confidence and some potentially very profitable trades in the coming weeks and months.”
4. 9/2/08, 9/8/08: The MC called the 9/2/08 Major High and sharp decline after:
9/2/08: The Series recently predicted a 7/28/08L, 7/31H, 8/8L, 8/15H, 8/19L,
8/22H, 8/26L +/-1…We actually had a 7/28L, 7/31H, 8/8L, 8/15H, 8/20L, 8/22H, 8/26L
The Series of Cycles are now looking for a 9/2 Major High
"We should have a 9/2 Major High and 3 Hard down Days into a 9/4 Lows @
Close"That is exactly what we got (click on chart to enlarge), the actual Intraday Low
arrived 2 trading hours later on 9/5 @ 11.25 am intraday Lows, close enough”


5. 3/4/09: The MC predicts 2 Major Lows for 2009, March and Mid June 09:
There are 2 Major lows that my Master Cycle, a Vedic based Cycle suggests to
watch for 2009, one is due in March 09, the next one is due Mid June 09.”
The most likely Scenario is that we complete wave 3 from 2/9 Highs into 3/5+/-1
Major Lows and June 09 will be the final wave 5 Low of the year.
Today is 39 TD from the last 1/6 swing High. I have found many times in the last year
that large moves end at 39 TD from a previous Major High or Low”
6. 6/17/09: The MC was looking for a Straight Up rally from the March 09 Lows
into early May 09 Highs, which we actually got. It was then looking for a Mid June


7. 8/26/09: The MC performance: “The Master Cycle (MC) performance since the
3/6/09 lows is shown as the green swing lines on the SPX chart. All the swing
High and Low dates are in the archives of the T&C Daily Email for subs and
some of them are also on this blog”

8. 9/24/09: Detailed Cycles this past week were:
Forecast: 9/18H, 9/21L, 9/23H, 9/24L Actual: 9/17H, 9/21L, 9/23H, 9/24L

9. 10/22/09: The MC predicts a rally through end of the year: “I have mentioned a
couple of months ago, that the Master cycle suggests, we will see a continued
rally into end of the year 2009, with some normal pullbacks along the way. That
seems like an impossible feat, but so far it has been doing just that, with the recent
October 21st High of the year”

10. 1/10/10: The MC recently predicted a 1/8-11/10 Major High.


The MC predictions in 2008:
1. 12/26/07 High
2. 1/9/08L
3. 2/21/08 High
4. 4/14/08 Major Low
5. 6/05/08 High
6. 6/23/08 Low
7. 9/2/08 Major High
8. 9/23/08L
9. 11/04/08 Major High
10. 12/17/08L

The MC accurately predicted 5 Major Highs and Lows in 2008, even though 2008 was a
difficult year to predict due to the historic Panic. The MC was off here and there
(red = right, blue = wrong) in 2008, but it managed to make 290 SP’s between June 08
and November 08, when I first started to closely track the MC. It predicted the
12/26/07H, 4/14/08L, 6/5/08H, 9/2/08 Major High, and the 11/4/08 High.


The MC predictions in 2009:

1. 3/6/09 Major Low
2. 5/8/09 High
3. Mid June Low
4. Rally into end of Year 2009 and into 1/8-11/2010 Major High

The MC was followed very closely in 2009 (red=right, blue =wrong) , as it predicted a
3/6/09 Major Low of the year (LOY) and a strong rally into 5/8/09 High, with a
secondary Low around Mid June 2009 Low. The actual Low was a few weeks later on
7/8/09. The MC then predicted a rally into end of the Year Highs, which is what
happened (see chart). The MC will not always be that accurate as 2009 was.


It is good to remember a couple of points:

1. The MC can be correct and exact sometimes predicting exact swing Highs and
lows for many days, weeks and months at a time. In this time you might tend to
“fall in Love” with this cycle and be impressed with its accuracy, but Caveat
Emptor.

2. At other times, the MC can and will be flat out wrong. For some unknown
reason, the MC fades, inverts or becomes dormant. This could last for days,
weeks and even months. It is best to use it only when it is “active”. I define a
cycle to be active when it gets 3-5 “Hits”, ie when it gets 3-5 Highs and Lows correct.
When it is inactive, you simply don’t use it. I use my other Time & Cycle work to
tell me what is happening. It is best to be patient and wait until it becomes active
again and then trade on it as it tends to be very precise, as can be seen in the many
examples above.

3. The MC does not always follow the predicted Price magnitude, ie the actual
Price rally/decline could be a whole lot bigger/smaller than the forecasted Price
rally/decline as shown on the forecasted chart.

4. The Master Cycle was a gift from God, so for the pure Joy and exhilaration one
gets from giving, I felt the need to share it with others. Also the MC gets the
recognition it deserves.


The Master Cycle (MC) became active and dominant in late 2017 and into March 2018.

The MC became active and dominant with at least 3-5 direct recent "hits", ie it predicted at least 3-5 previous Highs and Lows.

Currently the MC has 12 hits (green Lines): 

1. 11/15/17L-1,
2. 12/15/17L-1,
3. 12/29/17L,
4. 1/26/18HH
5. crash into 2/5/18L+1. 
6. 2/6/18H+1.
7.  2/9 major Low.
8.  2/16H
9. 2/21L+1.
10.  2/27H
11.  3/2L.
12. 3/9-12H (3/13H)
13. 3/20L +3
 
From the 3/13H it declined beyond the predicted MC 3/20L+/-1, so it had to be adjusted by a few days. It now suggests:

13. 3/23L
14. 3/28 swing High (3/27H, 1 day earlier)
15. Another 4/2 High (3/29H, 1 day earlier)

What’s next: The MC saw a 3/27 swing High and another 3/29 High, both one day earlier. It should be followed by an even sharper decline into April major Lows.


Editor: Raj Ian G. Thijm, Bsc, MBA
President Raj Time and Cycles, Inc.

Join our free forecasts and Updates at:
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Email: timeandcycles@gmail.com


Disclaimer
The contents of this article are for general information and educational
purposes only and should not be construed as an investment advice or
strategy. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Trading in
Stocks, Options and Futures involve risks. Trade at your own risk.


The Master Cycle Update: 3/23L, 3/27H, 4/2H

The latest Tradersworld Magazine will be published in early April, which has my recent article on the Master Cycle. When it comes out, I will publish it here. 


Below is the forecast conclusion of that article.

In my 3/17 post, "The MC suggests a 3/20 Low +/-1 and start a rally phase into the next short term swing High."

Actual: The decline lasted into 3/23 Apex CIT and Time Cluster Low, which was posted here

The Master cycle can expand and contract at times and as it arrived 2-3 days later than expected at the 3/23 Low, the MC was adjusted to fit the actual 3/23 Low. It then needed 3 future hits to become active again.



From the Raj T&C 3/24 weekend Email: "The MC +3 suggests: 3/23L, 3/27H, 4/2 lower High, then a sharp decline into April Lows" 




Actual: We made a 3/23L, rallied into 3/27H and saw another 3/29H lower High, 1 day earlier so far.

What's next:  The MC is suggesting a relative sharp decline into XXX April Lows.




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Monday, March 26, 2018

The 3/23 triangle Apex CITs worked like a charm


The 3/23 Geo time CIT, 3/23 Apex DJI CIT was a perfect Low!, Mercury Retro on 3/22 (night), 3/24 Over flight CIT, & 3/26 Mother Divine CIT Time cluster were all a 3/23 Low.

Sunday, March 25, 2018

The Sun Jupiter 30 degrees aspects


The Sun Jupiter 30 degrees aspects have been working lately as CITs (green vertical lines on chart) in the markets +/- 2 CD. The most recent one was on 3/13/18 swing High. The next Astro CIT is due on 4/11/18 +/-2.

Astro CITs are useful only if they have a statistical correlation with the markets and functions as secondary time CITs. The proprietary Solar and Geometric time CITs are more important, but these Astro CITs serve as a complement to them.



Sun 000 Jupiter 10/26/2017 12:09:16 => 10/25/17L

Sun 030 Jupiter 12/03/2017 08:01:07 => 12/01/17L

Sun 060 Jupiter 01/08/2018 06:06:50 => 1/10/18L

Sun 090 Jupiter 02/10/2018 17:20:31 => 2/09/18L

Sun 120 Jupiter 03/13/2018 14:05:37 => 3/13/18H

Sun 150 Jupiter 04/11/2018 06:14:32 =>

Sun 180 Jupiter 05/08/2018 18:38:59

Saturday, March 17, 2018

The Master Cycle (MC) still remains on track


From 3/1 public Time and Cycles blog post: The MC remains on track and suggests we see a 3/1-2 Low at the 3/2 Geo and 3/3 Solar time CIT and start a rally phase into the next short term swing High”


From 3/2 T&C Daily Email:  From the 3/2L, the MC and Bitcoin Cycles were looking for a  rally into 3/9-12H , followed by a  decline in Option Expiration (OE)  week and into 3/19-20 Lows”


Actual: We made a 3/2 Low and then rallied 154.58 SP’s into 3/13 High in the 1st half hour. We then declined 60.43 SP’s so far and it is expected to continue into 3/20 Low as the MC suggested. Normally OE week is bullish, but the MC suggested a decline, which we have now seen.

Many believe that a historic cycle with such precision is unheard of or virtually impossible, but the current MC begs to differ, eventhough it was not easy to find (the last time such an uncanny cycle was found was more than a year ago).

What’s next: The MC suggests a 3/20 Low +/-1 and start a rally phase into the next short term swing High. The MC suggests there are many more whipsaw rallies and declines to come and suggests you ain’t seen nothing yet.




The next public MC update will be in a month or so.
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Wednesday, March 7, 2018

Daytraders Update 3/7


We gapped lower to a 9.30 CIT Low and saw a 10.30 1st hour High so far.

Be aware, after the midday High, we should have another sharp decline into 2.05-2.10 Eastern double Time CITs.


Watch the Mebob for intraday Buy and Sell clues:

Intraday Mebob Buy above 2713.75 /ES (March Emini SP)

Intraday Mebob Sell below 2708.75 /ES (March Emini SP)



Mebob Buy and Sell Rules below:

From my friend Rob Falk, aka Mebob himself:

The Mebob trade has been described incorrectly by many people. Probably the most misunderstood part of it has to do with the CLOSE on the buy and sell signal. The buy or sell signals are only confirmed by the CLOSING PRICE of the following 5 minute bars and NOT the high or low. The basic concept as I originally presented it to Avid is as follows.

1. The MEBOB bar is a five minute bar that starts at 9:05 CT and ends at 9:10 Central time.

2. If you draw a horizontal line on your chart from the high and low of that bar you have the key points for the day.

3. If you CLOSE above the high of the Mebob on any subsequent 5 minute bar you buy.

4. If you CLOSE below the low of the Mebob you sell.

The most asked question is, "where is the stop loss". That is pretty obvious by the rules but some days the Mebob bar is
quite big and for some to take a 8-10 point loss is more than they want to accept. My general answer is to use a 5.25 trailing stop on your entry. I have found over the years that if the market reverses more than 5 points from the buy or sell signal it will keep going.

Another point that needs to be considered to increase your probability of success is the technicals at the time. In the case of the
attached example from 6-12, the RSI was at a very high level and should have produced a 100% potential for a successful trade. On the other hand if the RSI had been under 30 and I got a sell signal, I would have been concerned that the potential for entering the trade was not good and would probably pass for the day. No reason to trade every day and if the technical are against you, why fight it. When Mebob works as it did on Thursday its a very profitable short term trade with minimum risk. You have your entry point and stop loss point established and then its just a matter of deciding how long you stay in. Although many people with no technical skill can make money by just using a reasonably stop on the trade and closing it at the end of the day. You will see on the
attached example, the market reversed from an RSI reading under
30 and provided a 15 point gain on the trade. It was also the close
from the previous day and an important low. No reason to expect much
more out of a day trade and time to take the profit.

I hope this clears up the Mebob trade for you. Like any trade it works best in a trending market. The concept also works in markets beyond the S & P.

Bob

12.10 pm Update: 


We saw an early and lower midday 11.40 High, suggesting weakness into 2.00 pm Low is likely, which could then be the Low of Day.


We still have an 80% chance to see the last hour High to be the High of day, we'll see if that can happen.


2.35 pm Update: 
The intraday cycle is a little out of sync, the 2.00 pm cycle Low arrived at the 1.20L. 

The 2.05-2.10 pm Time CIT was the 2.05 higher Low.

In emotional markets (as today), the ideal intraday cycle Lows and Highs gets stretched, we should still see a last hour High.


4.00 pm Final result: 



"We still have an 80% chance to see the last hour High to be the High of day"

From the 2.00 pm CIT Low, we saw an 18 SP rally into a last hour 3.50 pm High of day, filling the morning's Gap.

This rally was supported by the daily Cycles as the MC was looking for a 3/2 swing Low and we remain in a volatile rally phase into the next swing High.


This will be my last public post for some time, 
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Tuesday, March 6, 2018

Daytraders Intraday Time and Cycles 3/7


Intraday 5 min SPX CIT (Change in Trend = High or Low) Times 3/07/18: 9.35, 2.05-10 pm Eastern

1. After a Sharp gap Lower at the Open/9.35 CIT Low, we have a 90% chance we rally into a 1st hour 10.30 Cycle High


2. The intraday cycle, after a spillover 9.40 Low, sees a 1st hour High, midday High and last hour High.

3. If the midday High is higher than the 1st hour High, it suggests a last hour highest High.

4. Current bias is 9.35 CIT is the Low of Day (LOD) or the 2.05-10 pm double CIT Low will be the LOD

5. There is an 80% chance we see a last hour High of Day (HOD).



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Daytraders Update 3/6




5 min Chart sent out last night: "Today is expected to be a consolidation day. The intraday cycle sees a 1st hour Low, midday Low and last hour Low. If the midday Low is lower than the 1st hour Low, it suggests a last hour lowest Low and Vice Versa."


12.00 Update: The intraday cycle saw a 1st hour 10.15 Low and a  lower 11.45 midday Low. We should see a last hour Low.



5.10 pm Update: Final Result: We saw a last hour 3.20 higher Low, which is bullish for tomorrow. The intraday cycle tomorrow, after perhaps initial weakness, is biased higher. Permature Bears be aware.

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